Study area and data acquisition

Occurrence data

Spatiotemporal analysis

Predictor variables

Future climate projections

Presence-absence data designs

Model evaluation

Model selection and consensus predictions of potential current and future distribution

Priority regions for surveillance and management

Spatiotemporal analysis of coypu occurrence

Model performance and variable importance

Current and future predictions of potential distribution

Priority regions for surveillance and management

Current situation and changes in the near future

Environmental predictors shaping coypu occurrence

Predictive ability of the species distribution model

Implications for management

Conclusions