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  • Article title
  • Abstract
  • Keywords
  • Introduction
  • Methods
  • Historical data
    • Ballast discharge
    • Biofouling
    • Data on contemporary shipping
    • Model construction
    • Ballast water
    • k-Nearest-Neighbours
    • Choice of predictors and number of nearest neighbours, k
    • Model validation
    • Prediction errors
  • Biofouling
    • Model selection
    • Model building for biofouling biomass
    • Ranking ports by likelihood of marine NIS entry
  • Results
    • Ballast discharge
    • Predicting contemporary ballast discharge
    • Biofouling
    • Ballast water and biofouling exposure per port
    • Priority ports for marine surveillance
  • Discussion
  • Conclusions
  • Acknowledgements
  • References
  • Supplementary material
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