Probability of cup plant establishing depending on the significant parameters of the final model (Table 4) A EIV temperature. Abbreviation: EIV = Ellenberg indicator value B distance to the field C height of the herb layer. Parameters were fitted by the final model (Logistic regression, Table 4) with all other parameters held constant on median. The fitted probabilities of cup plant establishing (blue line) and the 95%-confidence interval (grey band) are given. In addition, plots with (dashes in the top) and without (dashes in the bottom) establishing cup plants are shown with a slight offset in case of multiple plots of one value. (n = 223).