Research Article |
Academic editor: Jianghua Sun
© 2022 Jacopo Cerri, Simone Lioy, Marco Porporato, Sandro Bertolino.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Cerri J, Lioy S, Porporato M, Bertolino S (2022) Combining surveys and on-line searching volumes to analyze public awareness about invasive alien species: a case study with the invasive Asian yellow-legged hornet (Vespa velutina) in Italy. NeoBiota 73: 177-192. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.73.80359
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The Asian yellow-legged hornet (Vespa velutina) has been invading Italy since 2013, and it was subjected to management programs to counter its spread and raise awareness about its impacts. We administered a questionnaire to a sample of 358 beekeepers in Italy, asking them about their sources of information on V. velutina and their perception of its potential impacts and severity, compared to other threats to beekeeping. We also explored Internet searching volumes on Google and Wikipedia about V. velutina, to identify seasonal and long-term trends in public awareness. Workshops, journals or bulletins, the Internet and word-of-mouth with colleagues were the primary sources of information about V. velutina. Internet searches peaked during the activity period of the species and increased over time, with thousands of visits to Wikipedia each month. Beekeepers believed V. velutina to affect beekeeping by predating on honey bees (Apis mellifera), paralyzing foraging, reducing honey availability and depleting the winter cluster. Moreover, V. velutina has been deemed a severe threat to beekeeping, similar to other threats like pesticides and the varroa mite (Varroa destructor). Our findings indicate that beekeepers seem to be aware of the potential impacts of V. velutina in Italy, both within and outside of its invaded area, considering it a major threat to beekeeping. Moreover, citizens seem to have become progressively curious about the species. Information campaigns on the Internet and specialized magazines might be helpful to communicate about the impacts of the species, and the need to develop diffused surveillance networks.
Beekeeping, biological invasions, Google, Google Trends, species management, Wikipedia
Biological invasions are a major driver of change globally, with environmental and socio-economic impacts, whose frequency and magnitude are increasing in synergy with international trade and climate change (
Most conservation projects include outreach activities to raise the awareness of specific stakeholders, and/or the general public about biological invasions and invasive alien species (
On the other hand, at a time where the Internet is becoming a primary source of information worldwide, many studies showed that a growing number of people search on the Internet for those topics they are curious about, or have heard about, from various sources of information. Therefore, the analysis of online searching volumes on search engines and Wikipedia could become a valuable tool to measure public interest towards political (
V. velutina has become invasive in Europe, where it was first reported in 2004 in France, and is increasing its distribution across Central and Mediterranean countries and in the UK (
Apart from its impact on native insects and wild pollinators, its intensive predation upon the western honey bee (Apis mellifera), its reproductive potential and the lack of specialized predators, V. velutina can have severe impacts on beekeeping in Europe (
The management of invasive V. velutina is becoming an important issue for some European countries, with France documenting an expenditure of about €23 million for nest removal in the 2006–2015 period (
Due to its potential impacts on beekeeping, and its associated costs, the invasion of V. velutina has been targeted by various conservation projects in Italy. These include the LIFE STOPVESPA (https://www.vespavelutina.eu) and the LIFE ASAP (https://www.lifeasap.eu) projects, the Aliem Interreg Med project (http://interreg-maritime.eu/web/aliem), all three projects co-founded by the European Union, and the projects VELUTINA and STOPVELUTINA (https://www.stopvelutina.it/il-progetto). While these initiatives differed in their spatial scale and specific goals, all of them included many outreach initiatives about V. velutina, such as press campaigns, meetings with stakeholders and workshops at beekeeping events, with the main intention of raising the awareness of both beekeepers and laypeople.
The aim of the present study was to investigate public awareness about the invasive hornet V. velutina in Italy by implementing two different approaches for analyzing i) how beekeepers perceived the impact of the species, and ii) how online searches on V. velutina varied over time. Therefore, we first administered a questionnaire to a sample of beekeepers in Italy to ask them about their perception of V. velutina and its impact (also in relation to the other threats affecting honey bees) and their primary sources of information about the species. Then, we conducted a time-series analysis to identify long-term trends in on-line searches on Google and Wikipedia about V. velutina in Italy to capture temporal trends in public awareness about the species.
In August 2019, we designed a questionnaire on GoogleForms, to measure beekeepers’ perception of V. velutina as a threat to beekeeping and the conservation of honey bees. The questionnaire was divided into four different sections for measuring: i) the primary sources of information about V. velutina adopted by the beekeepers, ii) the perceptions about the most significant impacts of V. velutina on beekeeping and human activities, iii) the severity of V. velutina as a threat to beekeeping, compared to other major threats, and iv) the characteristics of respondents and their beekeeping activity.
Information sources were evaluated by asking respondents to complete a check-box with some of the main types of traditional and digital media: the Internet, newspapers, television or radio, specialized magazines, beekeeping bulletins, social networks, mailing lists, word-of-mouth with other beekeepers, communication with agronomists or entomologists, beekeeping workshops and significant beekeeping events (e.g. showrooms, conventions).
The main impacts of V. velutina that we mentioned in the questionnaire included a reduction in honey production caused by predation on honey bees and the inhibition of foraging, decrease in honey bees for the winter cluster, disease transmission to honey bees by foraging upon multiple colonies, damages to fruit orchards, increased risk of stings for the beekeepers. Moreover, we asked whether the impact of V. velutina was greater than that of the native European hornet (Vespa crabro). We asked for respondents’ agreement with a series of statements about these impacts on a 5-point bipolar scale, ranging from “Totally disagree” to “Totally agree”. As respondents may not have been familiar with some of the impacts, questions also had an “I don’t know” option.
Then we asked respondents about which were the main threats to beekeeping, in their opinion. These included honey bee predation by V. velutina, predation by native Hymenoptera, predation by birds, pesticide poisoning, infestation by the small hive beetle (Aethina tumida), infestation from the varroa mite (Varroa destructor), nosemosis or fungal, bacterial and viral diseases. Each of these threats was evaluated on a 5-point unipolar scale, ranging from “Not serious at all” to “Extremely serious”.
In the final section, we asked respondents whether they came from an area that had already been invaded by V. velutina, the decade when they started beekeeping, the size of their apiary, their sex, age and level of education, as well as the location (at the district level) where they practice beekeeping.
Questionnaires were forwarded to a sample of beekeepers in Italy, both from invaded and non-invaded areas, through a snowballing approach. Researchers who already operated in the management of V. velutina contacted referents from beekeeping organizations, asking them to forward the questionnaire to their contacts. This approach was chosen because a representative sample was not achievable with other techniques due to the absence of complete data about single beekeepers and the impossibility of designing a sampling strategy to recruit them in the field because of their different habits and the spatial scale of the study. A complete copy of the questionnaire in English and Italian language is available in Suppl. material
To measure whether there was an increase in public awareness about V. velutina through time, in Italy, we explored the temporal evolution of the volume of searches on Google about the Italian name for the species “Calabrone asiatico” (literally, Asian hornet, in Italian) and also the scientific name “Vespa velutina”, which has become widely adopted. Moreover, we also explored the temporal evolution in the monthly number of visits to the Wikipedia page “Vespa velutina” since 2015.
Google Trends is a relative index obtained by dividing the total number of searches related to a specific query by the total volume of searches on Google. The index is then rescaled between 0 and 100 by assigning the maximum value (100) to the point of the time series with the highest value of the index. Therefore, Google Trends is a relative metric, which is strongly discounted for the increasing number of searches on Google over time. On the other hand, the WikiMedia foundation allows users to access the number of visits, expressed as a raw count, to the various pages of Wikipedia, at least since July 2015. The combined use of Google Trends and Wikipedia visits therefore enabled us to both identify whether searches for V. velutina had become more common through time, as well as to appreciate their order of magnitude.
To highlight differences in beliefs about the impacts of V. velutina between respondents from the invaded and the non-invaded range of the species, as well as in its perception as a threat to beekeeping, we compared the distribution of answers using the Potential for Conflict Index (PCI,
Online searches on Google, based on the Google Trends index, were converted on a logarithmic scale, then decomposed in their long-term trend and their seasonal component, based on Bayesian structural time series with a Gaussian distribution of the error, a state-space model for time-series data (
Datasets and reproducible software code are available at https://osf.io/efs7k/.
Overall, we collected 358 surveys from our sample of beekeepers. Most respondents (59.7%) came from Liguria, Piedmont and Tuscany, regions that had already been invaded by V. velutina, while the remaining beekeepers from uninvaded regions, almost entirely in Central and Northern Italy (Fig.
Geographical distribution of respondents between the various Italian regions. Dashed areas correspond to the invaded range of V. velutina in Italy, in the Piemonte, Liguria and Toscana regions. Numbers above region names correspond to the number of respondents in each region. Circle areas were assigned arbitrarily to represent differences in the number of respondents between regions. 11 respondents did not indicate their region.
Beekeepers apprised themselves about V. velutina from multiple sources of information, in particular beekeeping workshops (53.4%), specialized journals (51.4%), the Internet (49.2%), beekeeping bulletins (42.5%), word-of-mouth with other beekeepers (37.7%) and agronomists/entomologists (36.3%), beekeeping events (20.9%), social networks (19.3%), generalist newspapers (17.6%), television or radio shows (14.0%) and mailing lists (6.1%). Hierarchical cluster analysis did not identify any major cluster of respondents, but instead 10–11 small clusters whose differences were unclear.
Most respondents believed V. velutina to have major impacts on honey bee colonies, mostly by reducing honey production through bee predation and foraging paralysis, and by decreasing the size of winter clusters. Moreover, respondents believed that V. velutina could increase the risk of stings to beekeepers and that its impacts were more severe than those of the native European hornet (V. crabro) (Fig.
Perceived impacts of V. velutina. Comparisons of the perceived impacts between respondents from the invaded and the non-invaded range of the species. Answers were measured on 5-points of a bipolar scale (y-axis), ranging from “Strongly disagree” (-2) to “Strongly agree” (+2). Bubbles were centered on the median score of invaded and non-invaded areas, and their size was proportional to the Potential for Conflict Index, which ranged between 0 (no disagreement, all answers on the same point of the scale) and 1 (respondents were equally divided between the two opposite points of the scale). Bubbles on the left (in green) represented answers from respondents living in non-invaded areas, while bubbles on the right (in red) answers from respondents living in invaded areas.
Respondents from invaded areas were more certain than those from uninvaded areas that V. velutina represents a severe threat to honey bees because of its foraging behavior (Bayes factor (BF) for the test of association of 116:1). The BF indicated that the odds of the alternative hypothesis of an association between these two variables was 116 times more likely than the null hypothesis of no association. For the other impacts, no differences were observed between respondents from the invaded and uninvaded range (BF10: honey availability = 0.04; winter cluster = 0.47; fruit production = 0.04; disease transmission = 0.25; risk of stings = 0.08; European hornet = 0.73).
V. velutina was considered a severe threat to honey bees and beekeeping. Respondents from invaded areas assigned it a severity score comparable to pesticides or the varroa mite (V. destructor) (Fig.
Perceived severity of various threats for beekeeping. Comparisons between respondents from the invaded and the non-invaded range of the species. Answers were provided on a unipolar scale ranging from “Not at all serious” (+1) to “Extremely serious” (+5) (y-axis). Bubbles were centered on the median score of each answer, and their size was proportional to the Potential for Conflict Index, which ranged between 0 (no disagreement, all answers on the same point of the scale) and 1 (respondents were equally divided between the two opposite points of the scale). Bubbles on the left (in green) represented answers from respondents living in non-invaded areas, while bubbles on the right (in red) represented answers from respondents living in invaded areas.
The Google Trends index for the queries “Calabrone asiatico” and “Vespa velutina” showed clear seasonal fluctuations, with a high number of searches between April and October, corresponding to the activity period of V. velutina. Searches usually had two peaks per activity period. Moreover, the two queries had an increasing long-term trend in their number of searches on Google. Notably, while the volume of searches for “Vespa velutina” mostly increased until summer 2015 and then stabilized, the query “Calabrone asiatico” increased steadily through time (Fig.
Volume of searches on Google. Volume of searches for the queries “Calabrone asiatico” and “Vespa velutina”, the two Italian words mostly used for naming the species. Google Trends index (top), long-term trend (center) and seasonal component (low) of the log-converted Google Trends index.
The monthly number of visits to the Italian Wikipedia page for V. velutina was quite high and variable (median ± sd = 2503 ± 3042), but it showed a similar seasonal pattern, with visits increasing between April and October and being characterized by a double peak in this timespan (Fig.
To the best of our knowledge, this study constituted a first attempt to draw conclusions about the awareness of beekeepers and citizens towards V. velutina in an invaded area of Europe. While another study (
Beekeepers in Central and Northern Italy seem to have received considerable exposure to news concerning V. velutina and its potential environmental and socio-economic impacts. Such exposure, in turn, affected their concerns about the species. The vast majority of our sample believed that V. velutina could have detrimental impacts on the conservation of honey bees and beekeeping, in line with the available scientific evidence (
Moreover, we found that beekeepers apprised themselves about V. velutina from a wide range of different channels, encompassing both the Internet and specialized magazines, and also activities with other members of their community, like other beekeepers and professionals holding workshops. On the other hand, conventional media and mailing lists seemed to be minor information sources on V. velutina.
These findings might help to design communication campaigns about V. velutina among beekeepers. The fact that beekeepers seem to be at least familiar with the species and its impacts indicate that they might have stable attitudes about this topic (
The seasonality of Internet searches about V. velutina seems to be correlated with the phenology of the species, since online searching volumes increased when people can observe the species in the environment (
Consultation to the Wikipedia page about the species was in the order of thousands of visits per month, with peaks of more than 10,000 visits. We believe that such a high number of visits is unlikely to have been generated by stakeholders or researchers alone, and that it probably involved laypeople as well. The overall volume of Internet searches about V. velutina and their long-term trend indicated a progressive awareness of laypeople about its progressive establishment into new areas and related consequences. This aspect was confirmed by the long term-trends of the Google Trends index for the two Italian words for the species, which increased between 2013 and 2020, reflecting the progressive spread of the species in Italy and the emergence of relevant impacts on beekeeping (
The analysis of Internet searching volumes might be a promising complementary tool for monitoring the presence of V. velutina in Italy and Europe. As Google Trends can be downloaded at the regional level, peaks in searches about V. velutina could signal the species’ colonization of a certain area. This approach is already adopted in epidemiology to trace the circulation of viral disease (
The authors are grateful to all the beekeepers who participated in the survey of the perceived impacts posed by the presence of V. velutina in Italy. Special thanks are also directed to the following beekeeper associations, that promoted the distribution of the survey to the beekeepers: Aspromiele, AgriPiemonte Miele, Consociazione Apicoltori della Provincia di Torino, AlpaMiele, Apiliguria, Toscana Miele, Consorzio Apicoltori della Provincia di Udine. We also thank a reviewer for his effort in improving the manuscript.
This research was funded by the LIFE project ASAP (LIFE15 GIE/IT/001039 ASAP Project).
Complete copy of the questionnaire on Vespa velutina in English and Italian language
Data type: PDF document
Explanation note: Complete copy of the questionnaire on Vespa velutina in English and Italian language.
Distribution of scores to the questions on the perceived impacts of V. velutina and its severity in relation to various threats for beekeeping
Data type: PDF document
Explanation note: Distribution of scores to the questions on the perceived impacts of V. velutina and its severity in relation to various threats for beekeeping.