GPFS model prediction for potential population index of oriental fruit fly, Bactrocera dorsalis (including observations of Bactrocera invadens) in A) Africa and B) Asia based on most recent 10 years (2003-2012) weather data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction – Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (NCEP-CFSR) at a 38 km resolution. Locations where B. dorsalis or B. invadens has been observed in the literature are shown as black dots. The predictions are on a scale of 0–1 and do not account for the presence or absence of suitable hosts. The map is the highest population index of any month averaged over ten years with initial populations in each year being independent. The maps also include the cold and dry exclusions from Figure 2.

  Part of: Hong SC, Magarey RD, Borchert DM, Vargas RI, Souder SK (2015) Site-specific temporal and spatial validation of a generic plant pest forecast system with observations of Bactrocera dorsalis (oriental fruit fly). NeoBiota 27: 37-67.